Wikinvest Wire

Governing California without a housing boom is hard

Friday, January 11, 2008

It's like déjà vu all over again here in the Golden State as the Gubernator looks to extricate himself and the state from massive budget deficits by slashing spending in the current fiscal year and proposing more cuts for next year.

Apparently a housing boom that has now gone decidedly bust is having an undesirable (yet very predictable) impact on the revenue side of the ledger as fewer homeowners are paying fewer property taxes as the foreclosure rate soars.

Of course it doesn't help that fewer workers are paying less income tax as the unemployment rate surges and that fewer consumers are paying less sales tax as home equity ATMs continue to shut down all across the state as home values continue to decline.

It's a lot harder to govern the largest state in the country California - what would be the eighth largest economy in the world - when you no longer have one of the most enormous speculative financial bubbles the world has ever seen pushing up asset prices, creating jobs, and fueling consumer spending.

This LA Times story fills in some of the details:

Gov. Arnold Schwarzenegger's ambitious policy agenda collided with fiscal reality Thursday as he rolled out a proposed budget that threatens to unravel his investment in schools, healthcare and criminal justice programs.

At the same time he is pushing a $14-billion expansion of healthcare to nearly all Californians, his budget calls for a rollback of existing medical programs for the needy.

His hope of improving schools may be dashed by what he says is a need, for the first time in years, to cut by hundreds of dollars the amount spent on each student.

And an expansion of the prison system he hoped to reform is now eclipsed by his proposal to release tens of thousands of inmates and lay off prison guards.

Schwarzenegger's budget recommendations put into stark contrast the disparity between his vision of what the state can accomplish and what it can afford in the current economy -- especially, say state finance experts, if he sticks to his promise not to raise taxes.
Well, he had four good years.

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7 comments:

Unknown said...

"the largest state in the country"? that would be alaska, followed by texas. :)

Anonymous said...

time for another recall in Kalifornia.

Anonymous said...

Fiscal Fitness, not Physical Fitness, Arnold!

wasn't this (ostensibly) why gray davis was recalled?

wow - the more things change, the more things stay the same.

keynes advocated government spending as a way of smoothing the business cycle - as one would expect a reponsible government to raise spending in troubled times and lower it in times of plenty.

i guess he didn't figure in the idiocy and short sightedness of politicians.

well maybe some important propositions can now get passed that will FORCE California to be fiscally fit.

Anonymous said...

No, Gray Davis was recalled because Arnie and Enron (Ken Lay) set up a deal to screw him....

Anonymous said...

I earn a six figure salary, and, as I live on the beach in LA, must have a roommate. My roommate is a female. Her boyfriend purchased 3 homes in Palm Springs during the RE boom. Both of them have not really worked for a couple of years, yet they have afforded themselves lavish vacations and fine automobiles and personal expenditures. His RE value is now turning on its head and he wants out (because he is now starting to lose money). Problem is, what does he now do for money? He has no skills other that a general handyman around homes, etc. He now feels "guilty" for owning so many homes where a couple of months ago, he was touting his financial "successes".

I think he should be bankrupt and not allowed to compete with the rest of us for years ( hell, for the rest of his life for all I care) I want these 20 something, non-working folk to hit a deep depresion to at least earn some character, 'cause life aint taught them no character yet.

I can't wait for the entire system to collapse and these worthless individuals find themselves...er, um, worthless : )

Anonymous said...

I am praying for GOOG to hit $1000 this year and taxes paid by GOOG founders, employees & investors to bridge the CA's fiscal deficit gap. Can't taxes on GOOG capital gains cover CA's fiscal deficit?

Anonymous said...

Better start rethinking those offshore oil wells.

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