Wikinvest Wire

Can't ... Keep ... Up

Wednesday, April 26, 2006

An informal sampling of gas stations in recent days has revealed that Monday's update of the California SUV Fill Up Index to $3.00 per gallon is already woefully behind what is now being seen at gas stations in this area.

Having just filled up this morning at $3.21 per gallon, today's update of the index to $3.10 per gallon is not so much an attempt to catch up to rising gasoline prices as it is an effort to reduce the rate at which the index is falling behind.

Gas station proprietors across the country are surely perplexed with recent developments. Prices have risen by nearly twenty cents since Monday and many stations seem to have begun marking up their corner signs on a twice-daily schedule now. Some go with no prices at all out front for hours at a time, while others have run short of the number "3" and write the number in with a marker.

The gas station owner interviewed in this story is representative of the lot, making a comment at the end which at first appears to be in jest, but when thinking about it again, maybe it's not:

Meanwhile in Encinitas, station manager Vader was weighing whether to order more "3" digits for his signs. Given recent price trends, Vader said "Maybe I won't need to. Maybe we'll [just] go to $4."
Anyway, as promised, another dime another update.

Readers should note that the index is constructed in a way that simply represents the cost to fill up a bone-dry tank - nothing more. No fuel mileage considerations or distance traveled on a full tank were deemed relevant when the index was originally conceived, and that remains true today.

The important aspect to this exercise has always been the digits that are displayed at the pump when, week after week, millions and millions of Americans across the land insert their credit card, pump their gas, and mutter to themselves as they glance at the total price just paid.


In the most recent tally, three more vehicles have breached the $75 level and the Hummer H2 is perilously close to the century mark. Again, it is natural to wonder about those H2 sales and if, as one commenter suggested some time ago, the boxy shape of this SUV facilitates convenient stacking as inventory continues to mount.

As for Cadillac Escalades, also quickly approaching the $100 level, somewhere recently an ad was spotted for the new model with the 403-hp, 417 lb.-ft. Gen IV 6.2L Vortec VVT engine, so naturally, the Cadillac website was perused to consider including it in the index.

All sorts of glitzy animation was available to entice buyers to tap their home equity one last time and pony up the $60,000+ to drive off the lot in their dream SUV - we just wanted to know how big the gas tank was and ultimately left empty-handed.

The Decider In Chief Makes a Decision

Politicians of all loyalties are abuzz with activity in an effort to make it look like they're doing something about high gas prices as mid-term elections quickly approach. Nowhere is this buzzing sound more intense than on Pennsylvania Avenue, yesterday's speech by the "Decider in Chief" before the Renewable Fuels Association yielding two major announcements.

The big news was that the topping off process, underway for some time now over at the nation's Strategic Petroleum Reserve, will be halted until this fall. This, of course, will have little impact on gasoline prices which are largely driven by problems at the refineries, but it will provide better pricing for the Chinese government to accelerate purchases for their strategic oil reserve.

The other news was that environmental standards will be eased to allow refiners more flexibility in providing gasoline to consumers.

Translation: Screw the environment - we need cheap gas!

In the speech, talk naturally gravitated toward how wonderful things are around the world, there seeming to be just one fly-in-the-ointment - the ointment, that is, of global non-inflationary growth and prosperity for all.

The problem? It's that American vice, our little habit, our addiction:
Yet amongst this hopeful -- these hopeful signs, there's an area of serious concern, and that is high energy prices. And the prices that people are paying at the gas pumps reflect our addiction to oil. Addiction to oil is a matter of national security concerns. After all, today we get about 60 percent of our oil from foreign countries. That's up from 20 years ago where we got oil from -- about 25 percent of our oil came from foreign countries. Now, part of the problem is, is that some of the nations we rely on for oil have unstable governments, or agendas that are hostile to the United States. These countries know we need their oil, and that reduces our influence, our ability to keep the peace in some areas. And so energy supply is a matter of national security. It's also a matter of economic security.
The speech goes on at great length about using less oil, building more refineries, using alternative fuel sources, and hybrids and ethanol and hydrogen and all sorts of things.

It all sounds good, but does little to help the people who, according to recent news reports, are frequenting their local pawn shops on an increasingly regular basis to hock their valuables so they can fill up their tank.

Let's hope they had some gold jewelry and that they got a fair price.

On the positive side - American ingenuity and all - the guy who runs gasbuddy.com seems to be doing well these days. He's showing up on all the network news and talk shows and has legions of motorists anxious to update the local reports of gas prices in the hopes of saving other motorists a few dollars here and there.

That's not much of a positive side, but it's something.

8 comments:

Anonymous said...

hummer h3 sales are supposed to be brisk right now - I saw some reporter on the news the other night in front of a gas station talking to people when they filled up and he mentioned the h3.

Anonymous said...

I saw Honda is bringing the Fit to the US. Small CRX size car, 109 hp, Uber good mpg. It's time for little cars again. If my buisness stays good maybe I'll finally replace the ol'Rabbit GTI I drive now.

john_law_the_II said...

it's interesting, the car that a non-wealthy SUV owner would drive, are still pretty expensive to fill up. I'm talking the explorer, envoy and trailblazer.

Anonymous said...

Seems that the C word is not being used near enough. The funny thing about the hybrid cars is that they don't get anywhere near the mileage that is stated by the EPA. Under normal driving conditions (rat race speeds) they get around 30 mpg and their batteries are a potential environment issue.

Anonymous said...

Hybrid mileage is probably best shown here on Real Hybrid Mileage Database. As you can see, Hybrids vary. If you give a rat's patooty about mileage, you'll probably get a Civic, Prius, or Insight, essentially increasing your mileage by 50%. If you're driving a luxury/SUV, you still get that 50% bump, but your mileage is only about 25-30 mpg (which is still way better than the 15-20 mpg you get with a non-hybrid).

As for the environment, a Prius will emit about 3.5 tons of greenhouse gases per year. A Toyota Camry will emit about 7.2 tons (According to Hybrid-Car.org), so you're helping out the environment there. The batteries basically last about 8-10 years, and according to Toyota, since 1988 "Every part of the battery, from the precious metals to the plastic, plates, steel case and the wiring, is recycled".

So it looks like there's no environmental downside to a Hybrid.

If you look at the financials, they are almost at break-even levels, assuming you keep it for a few years and gas prices increase with the CPI. If gas prices keep doubling every 3 years (which is likely if the Chinese make good on their plan to increase domestic consumer spending, and since no new refineries will come online in the next 15 years), you'll make out like a bandit.

In the future, I hope all posters who try to knock down conventional wisdom at least cite their sources (but what are the odds).

Anonymous said...

I can confirm the pawn shop thing. I've visited a number of local pawn shops (here in Atlanta) scoping out the gold scene. I've had a number of proprietors announce to me (often unsolicited) how well they are doing with payday loans.

Yeah, the economy's doing just fine....

Anonymous said...

Certainly ain't stoppin' anyone from getting on the freeway.
It was bump to bumper out here on Hwy 880.

Anonymous said...

Given that automobiles and human beings cannot really co-exist, I am delight in the relentless price increase of petrol. The sooner the automobile "culture" collapses and dies the better for us all and generations to come.

Suppose people living in 1910 somehow determined with 100% certainty that, by the year 2006, the "horseless carriage" would have killed 50 million people and injured/disabled another 800 million, most of them in their prime of life? What would have been their reaction? It's certain they would have torched every automobile in sight and probably lynched Henry Ford.

According to the W.H.O., EVERY YEAR, about 1.3 million people die in automobile crashes; another 35-40 million are injured or disabled. The cost to national economies is about 7%-10% of GDP. The toll in terms of human suffering and grief is incalculable.

Then there is the matter of urban/suburban sprawl. For every one square mile of highway, seven square miles of land are paved over or built upon. Not to mention the attendant pollution of air and water, and the effects of the crazed car culture upon our psyches.

The safest, reliable and cost-effective means to transport goods and people is by rail, bar none. Any nation whose economy relies upon the automobile and choked highways is doomed by the ultimate cost, carnage and inefficiency of the car culture. The future belongs to those nations with highly developed light and heavy rail systems.


**This number (50 million) is greater than the total civilian/military deaths caused by World War II.

IMAGE

  © Blogger template Newspaper by Ourblogtemplates.com 2008

Back to TOP