His Timing Might Be Perfect
Thursday, February 22, 2007
Get ready to see a lot more of former Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan in a few months. He'll be out promoting his memoirs, set for publication this fall, right at the peak of the summer real estate sales season - just when large numbers of anxious sellers face hesitant buyers.
His timing might be perfect.
With a new psychology overtaking the nation's housing market as subprime lenders fall, ARMs reset, and foreclosures rise, there should be an entirely new pricing dynamic at play as the former Fed Chairman goes on his book tour.
Last week, hearts were sent aflutter when it was announced that he'll be the keynote speaker at the annual publisher's convention in June.The chairman is coming to BookExpo America.
Along with the low inflation, low unemployment, and economic expansion came a series of financial bubbles that may or may not still be around when he starts hawking his book.
Alan Greenspan, former Federal Reserve Board chairman and author of a widely anticipated memoir, will be the keynote speaker June 1 at the publishing industry's annual national convention, to be held in New York from June 1-3.
"We are enormously honored that Dr. Greenspan has agreed to appear at BEA," Lance Fensterman, BookExpo's event director, said Friday in a statement.
"Dr. Greenspan is one of the leading figures of the latter half of the 20th century and his insight, leadership, and impact has affected citizens in the United States and the world at large."
Greenspan, 80, reportedly received $8.5 million for his memoir, "The Age of Turbulence," scheduled to come out this fall from the Penguin Press. After his talk at BookExpo, Greenspan will answer a few questions, from an interviewer he knows quite well — his wife, NBC's Andrea Mitchell.
"We see this as a real coup," said Roger Bilheimer, BookExpo's special events director. "Sure, she's his wife, but she's a smart lady and she's been around the block. I certainly think this is an opportunity for a stimulating conversation."
...
Greenspan, widely viewed as the most successful chairman in the Fed's 92-year history, served from 1987 until his retirement, in 2006. He presided over an era of low inflation rates, low unemployment and the longest economic expansion in U.S. history — a decade of uninterrupted growth from March 1991 to March 2001.
He will forever be remembered for inflating a housing bubble after the bursting of a stock market bubble - the final verdict on that gambit has yet to be rendered.
A lot can happen in a few months - he may not get the reception he's expecting.
3 comments:
From itulip last year
(http://www.itulip.com/greenspanissorry.htm)
Greenspan Says, "Sorry!"
Apologizes for Wrecking World Economy Admits "harebrained" scheme of credit-dependent economic growth "a failure."
Special iTulip.com Bulletin - April 1, 2008 Today, speaking to a group of unemployed automobile parts factory workers in Ohio and homeless ex-venture capitalists in California's once economically vibrant Silicon Valley via a free Internet seminar, ex-Fed Chairman Alan Greenspan apologized for creating a “madcap” economic system in the mid 1990s, dependent on leverage and asset speculation, that collapsed in 2007. The implosion occurred when Iran, Venezuela and Russia together cut off oil supplies to the U.S. after National Security Advisor Condoleeza Rice referred to Russian President Vladimir Putin, Venezuelan President of Hugo Chavez and Iranian President Mahmoud Ahmadinejad as “The Three Oil Stooges,” in a speech to students at Georgetown University in Washington, DC. She likened the Russian President to Three Stooges character Mo Howard, stating “He was the leader of the group, just like Putin.” Since then, Russia, Iran and Venezuelan have been selling the balance of their oil to China.
The oil cut-off spiked inflation and interest rates, collapsed the dollar and created the worst economic calamity in history. Global trade fell 53% in two years, inflation and interest rates soared to double digits and unemployment increased to over 20% in most Western countries.
National Security Advisor Rice later explained, “I was just kidding.”
In unusually comprehendible comments during his seminar, Greenspan said, “We thought we had it right. Similar harebrained credit based monetary schemes had been tried before over the past thousand years or so. They didn’t work out, either. Looking back, our mistake was that we didn’t see the obvious parallels to the past. We thought we finally got it right, we’d ironed out the bugs. But things got out of control."
A seminar participant asked Greenspan during a brief Q&A session what led him to conclude that something was wrong. Greenspan replied, "Mortgage companies were financing speculators to flip condos in Florida four times before they were built. Private equity firms were financing speculators to flip $1B companies over and over. The money poured into big houses in Connecticut and upstate New York, hedge funds in the Cayman Islands, even yard sale junk on the Antiques Roadshow. At the end of one show, a guy who brought a crap wooden horse he inherited from his grandparents is surprised when the appraiser tells him it's worth $50,000. You can see the guy is thinking, “Who’d pay $50,000 for a crap wooden horse?” But I knew. A hedge fund manager, that’s who."
this is somewhat ot but it looks like caroline baum is reading your blog.... :-)
Redemption may be in the offing, however. I learned I was ``making progress toward clearheaded thinking with each passing week,'' according to the blog, ``The Mess That Greenspan Made.''
Alas, my assertion that inflation was running at about 2.5 percent revealed me to be ``as out of touch as the Fed Chairman.''
http://www.bloomberg.com/apps/news?pid=20601039&sid=ayZsVTzHYJn0&refer=home
i hope Andrea asks the chairman how those ARMs are working out for the folks.
Post a Comment