Bailing out the engine of U.S. economic growth
Friday, August 31, 2007
Bloomberg reports that President George W. Bush will outline a number of recommendations and policy changes today aimed at helping subprime borrowers avoid foreclosure.Bush will let the Federal Housing Administration, which insures mortgages for low- and middle-income borrowers, guarantee loans for delinquent borrowers, allowing them to avoid foreclosure and refinance at more favorable rates, according to an administration official, who spoke on condition of anonymity.
See Bill Gross' recent commentary where the FHA proposal was floated a week or so ago and Paul Kasriel's critique of that proposal.
Tighter credit and higher borrowing costs threaten the housing market, which has been an engine of U.S. economic growth. Democrats in Congress and the party's presidential candidates have criticized Bush for not taking action to prevent the spread of foreclosures.
"The Federal Reserve's interest-rate reductions alone can't fix the problem,'' Peter Meister, an economist at BHF Bank AG in Frankfurt, said in a telephone interview. He called the Bush plan "positive'' both for "the people concerned and the economy as a whole.''
The change would affect borrowers who are at least 90 days behind in payments and let them stay in their homes, the administration official said. Bush, in a statement in the White House Rose Garden, also will back proposals to provide tax relief for homeowners who refinance.
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Among the plans Bush will announce is a joint initiative of the Treasury and Housing and Urban Development departments to identify people who are at risk of defaulting on their mortgages, the official said.
Bush wants the government to work with lenders, insurers and others to develop more favorable loan products for those borrowers, the administration official said.
9 comments:
We'll be on the road during the Fed chief's keynote address at the Jackson Hole confab.
It looks like financial markets are expecting the "Bernanke put" to be announced.
What a great way to bail out greedy people!!!
Yay - responsible taxpayers lose again!
And it wasn't too long ago that Bush was bragging about the increase in home ownership ... what a friggin' idiot.
Yeah, I guess two or three months ago, it would have been nice to have been bailed out of my nasty ARM; rather than swallow the bitter pill of the 6% 30-yr fixed that is eating 80% of my income.
I really, really love my house, and I value the equity, and I'm in it for the long haul. And I know I made some stupid decisions, and now I've got a few painful years ahead of me; but I'd really hate to see my tax dollars going to make life easier for other people who didn't make the hard choice, and just wanted the easy credit.
On the other hand - if millions of people lose their homes, then that screws me too, because it's in my best interest that these people stay in productive jobs, etc. Hey, I've got an idea; why don't we pay for the homeowner bailouts with a special tax on irresponsible lender commissions?
That's like paying for roads with a gasoline tax. Or paying for schools with a child tax.
I'm pretty populist leaning at most times. But you can't allow brokers to peddle ludicrously unwise loans to the under informed, then bail out the suckers when the crap inevitably hits the fan. Moral hazard isn't just a problem for hedge fund managers. Bubbles wipe people out, people get ruined. That is a case for responsible oversight in the future, not declaring a mulligan for the past three years. Allowing people to stay in homes they could never afford is just about the worst thing you can do IMHO.
Let's be clear. This isn't a bailout of over-extended home owners. It's a bailout of over-extended bankers. So, you know it's a certainty. Homes are just not worth this much relative to other benchmarks (like income, rent, etc.) and any bailout will just make the renormalization process more perverse. It cannot prevent it from happening. It will however buy time for some people to unwind their stake in it - unless of course, creditors catch on quickly and dump the currency. In the end, there is no such thing as a bailout. Bailouts are just schemes to stick someone else with the hot potato.
Time to call it quits...Being responsible, both financially and morally, in this world financial charade equates to being broke in the long run as wealth is transfered to debtors....
Isn't it interesting that the world's largest bond fund manager, Bill Gross, was asking for the government to bail out home "owners" as subprime blowouts send many securities into the crapper. I wonder if he had a little too much exposure.
Bill Gross doesn't have too much exposure. He called it right all along that FNM bonds would be treasury-backed. He has his correctly positioned for the most obvious government play. If you're a retail investor, physical gold at current levels is as close to a slam dunk as you'll likely ever see. Big investors obviously can't get in without moving the price a lot and need to find other avenues to play the insanity game.
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