Wikinvest Wire

The Nobel Prize and the "super-conduit"

Monday, October 15, 2007

There is more than a bit of irony in the announcement of the Nobel Prize in economics within a day or so of the announcement that major U.S. banks plan to set up a "super-conduit" fund to flush all the bad mortgage debt out of the system.

The Associated Press reports:

Americans Leonid Hurwicz, Eric S. Maskin and Roger B. Myerson won the Nobel prize in economics on Monday for developing a theory that helps explain situations in which markets work and others in which they don't.

The three researchers "laid the foundations of mechanism design theory," which plays a central role in contemporary economics and political science, the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences said.
...
Their theory lets economists, governments and businesses "distinguish situations in which markets work well from those in which they do not," the academy said in its citation.
Meanwhile, the Financial Times reports:
Citigroup, Bank of America and JPMorgan are on Monday expected to announce plans for a fund to buy mortgage-linked securities in an attempt to allay fears of a downward price-spiral that would hit the balance sheets of big banks.

A person familiar with the discussions said that US banks collectively were expected to put up credit guarantees worth about $75bn for the fund, named the Single-Master Liquidity Enhancement Conduit (SMLEC).
...
The concept of an SMLEC first emerged three weeks ago when the US Treasury summoned leading bankers to discuss ways of reviving the mortgage-linked securities market and dealing with the threat posed by structured investment vehicles (SIVs) and conduits.

The Treasury acted as a neutral “third party” in the discussions, and Hank Paulson,Treasury secretary, was strongly in support of the initiative.
Maybe if the work of Hurwicz, Maskin and Myerson had been available a few years back, if the Federal Reserve gave a hoot about asset bubbles, and if regulators weren't asleep at the wheel, this whole credit, housing, and mortgage market mess could have been avoided.

Clearly, having some tool to help explain "situations in which markets work and others in which they don't" wouldn't have hurt.

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7 comments:

Anonymous said...

Markets always work.

Anonymous said...

To flush, why not just write down the bad debt? A super conduit seems like a vehicle to pass it onto to someone else. I'll bet they're setting up taxpayers to take the hit.

Anonymous said...

Robert Merton won the prize in 1997, I think, and in the following year lost his job as director of LTCM because ... well, you know the reasons. Put not your faith in mathematical squiggles.

Anonymous said...

Regulators aren't asleep. They know who appointed them into office. (and its not the general public, nor is it even the general educated public)

Anonymous said...

Better no regulation than false regulation.

Independent Accountant said...

Markets only fail to work when the result is adverse to Citigroup and Goldman Sachs. These Nobels are empty. Paraphrasing Richard Nixon, "We are all Nobelists Now".

Anonymous said...

Instead of always pointing fingers why don't we look in the mirror and take responsibility for our own doing? The problem is that most people are mentally deficient and always want what they cannot have, myself included. Why must I own not one, but TWO video iPods? Because I'm an American (git 'er done!) Granted, one is only a 30 GB and the other is an 80 GB. That justifies it, right? No. The same thing goes with your house and your car. Just because you "qualify" for a $xxx,xxx mortgage or car doesn't mean you can afford it. SHOCKING. You mean I can put no money down? You mean I only have to pay interest for 3 years? So when exactly do I have to pay off this loan? I don't even know because I got a D+ in Algebra as a senior in high school. And by I, I mean you. Greenspan is a genius. America...F*ck yeah!

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