Wikinvest Wire

A significant statement

Tuesday, October 16, 2007

Wasn't it not too long ago that Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke acknowledged the housing slowdown but failed to see a broad impact on economic growth?

Yesterday, he acknowledged the impact on economic growth but failed to see a slowdown in personal and business spending.

The further contraction in housing is likely to be a significant drag on growth in the current quarter and through early next year. However, it remains too early to assess the extent to which household and business spending will be affected by the weakness in housing and the tightening in credit conditions.
Doesn't that sound like he's a little behind the curve here?

In the process of stating the obvious and setting himself up for future criticism when consumer spending does slow significantly (at some point, it has to slow down, doesn't it?), the Fed Chief has uttered words that may linger for a while.

It was a near-perfect sequence of words that quickly and naturally found its way into headlines and opening paragraphs of news reports around the globe and may ultimately serve to reinforce the current downward trend rather than serve any other purpose.

Did Alan Greenspan every say anything like that?

Did he ever note that "the sharp reductions in share prices for technology companies are likely to be a significant drag on economic growth next year?"

And, no, a "significant drug" was not what was intended in the Google search above, though there is some irony in this as a suggested alternative.

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5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Big Ben is just slowly preparing the blind masses for what's coming and setting the scene for his upcoming revisionist history, like the revisionism Greenspan is engaging in now -- "What? I always warned everyone about this!".

-Vespucian

Anonymous said...

The only way for little BEn to "see" a slowdown in consumer spending would be for him to get out and talk to people in the "real" world. They just look at numbers and will only see what has already happened.. to see the calamity ahead, they would have to talk to people who are now getting hosed by Greenspans last bubble.

Tim said...

And then there's this - Remarks by Secretary Henry M. Paulosn, Jr.on Current Housing and Mortgage Market Developments

The ongoing housing correction is not ending as quickly as it might have appeared late last year.

And it now looks like it will continue to adversely impact our economy, our capital markets, and many homeowners for some time yet. Even so, I believe we have a healthy, diversified economy that will continue to grow.

The housing correction has its roots in an eight-year period of exceptional home price appreciation which was fueled by an increased demand for, and an abundant supply of easy credit. Speculation also played a significant role, as the share of buying activity by investors or individuals buying second homes more than doubled from 2000 to 2005. Homebuilders responded to the extraordinary demand for more and larger homes as if it would last forever.


Everybody has 20-20 hindsight.

Anonymous said...

Tim, your next website:

The significant drag Bernanke made.

Unknown said...

How about a pic of Bernake in 'significant drag'?

IMAGE

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