Wikinvest Wire

Liquidity surges, oil surges

Wednesday, December 12, 2007

Well, energy markets sure aren't taking the news of the Federal Reserve's new "Global Liquidity Plan" very well. It seems that the combination of less oil inventory and more paper money inventory is having the predictable result - higher oil prices.
Earlier today, the Energy Information Administration reported that U.S. inventories of crude oil fell again, though not nearly as big a drop as last week. The days of "historically high" stockpiles appear to be about over in he U.S. - they've been over in most of the rest of the world for some time now.

The organization's Short Term Energy Outlook calls for lower prices by the end of winter - all the way down to $86 a barrel.

Wow! Could Steve Forbes have ever imagined that, here in 2007, someone would be predicting that oil prices would fall to $86?

Everyone seems to be counting on a big world-wide economic slowdown to ratchet back energy consumption so that existing production levels will result in lower prices.

If that does occur, then there will be a host of other problems, all of which are likely to be countered by even lower interest rates (primarily in the U.S.) and even more "liquidity" (primarily in the U.S.) causing oil-exporters to rethink what paper money (primarily in the U.S.) is really worth these days.

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5 comments:

Anonymous said...

please please please i don't wanna hear any dumbtards complaining about how much it takes to fill up their hummer with the support the troops sticker on it

Anonymous said...

The only way the business of energy production/consumption is going to change is to bring on some serious pain to AMerican consumers. So far, this has been like the proverbial "boiling frog", which, unfortunately implies that we'll all just die someday.

Anonymous said...

isn't it ironic, that in this modern day of finance, oil seems to be safer than money market accounts.

MyFriendFate said...

Do you think it could be that the era of liquidity and easy money is over? Kind of like in Japan after their housing bubble? It seems like there is a point when lower and lower interest rates have less and less effect on spurring investment. And (to me) it seems we are at or approaching that point now.

Despite commodity inflation in the global arena, the lack of liquidity and tapped out consumer here would likely be more deflationary.

No?

Anonymous said...

iio - thought provoking comment.
i'm going back to my louis prechter book that describes how a deflationary spiral starts. ...

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