Wikinvest Wire

If anybody is at fault it is Greenspan

Tuesday, February 05, 2008

Geez, I've been writing this blog for three years now and my parents are just starting to figure out what the name means - apparently, dozens of confirmations from the mainstream media are required before it really sinks in.

In a voicemail message earlier today came questions about an article in The New Yorker titled "The Minsky Moment".

Twenty-five years ago, when most economists were extolling the virtues of financial deregulation and innovation, a maverick named Hyman P. Minsky maintained a more negative view of Wall Street; in fact, he noted that bankers, traders, and other financiers periodically played the role of arsonists, setting the entire economy ablaze. Wall Street encouraged businesses and individuals to take on too much risk, he believed, generating ruinous boom-and-bust cycles. The only way to break this pattern was for the government to step in and regulate the moneymen.
Many of Minsky’s colleagues regarded his “financial-instability hypothesis,” which he first developed in the nineteen-sixties, as radical, if not crackpot. Today, with the subprime crisis seemingly on the verge of metamorphosing into a recession, references to it have become commonplace on financial Web sites and in the reports of Wall Street analysts.
...
If anybody is at fault it is Greenspan, who kept interest rates too low for too long and ignored warnings, some from his own colleagues, about what was happening in the mortgage market. But he wasn’t the only one. Between 2003 and 2007, most Americans didn’t want to hear about the downside of funds that invest in mortgage-backed securities, or of mortgages that allow lenders to make monthly payments so low that their loan balances sometimes increase. They were busy wondering how much their neighbors had made selling their apartment, scouting real-estate Web sites and going to open houses, and calling up Washington Mutual or Countrywide to see if they could get another home-equity loan. That’s the nature of speculative manias: eventually, they draw in almost all of us.
The message has now been erased, but somewhere in it was a question, something along the lines of, "Is that what you've been writing about? Greenspan?"

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5 comments:

Anonymous said...

Now, now. Some people are slower than others. Patience and tolerance with others are virtues. :-)

TJandTheBear said...

Family members never listen -- it's some kind of rule. They have to have some kind of outside revelation before they'll come 'round. Sigh.

Anonymous said...

I've been telling my mom and sister to buy gold since it was $400. They said it was 'too risky'.

I finally got dad to buy silver at $15.

Anonymous said...

Don't feel bad, Tim. Not only do my folks believe the economy is just dandy, they're also political fanatics. Any warning about the US or global economy is seen as a direct attack on the Bush administration, or perhaps conservatism in general. I've been trying to point them to blogs like this one for years, with minimal effect. Things will have to get a LOT worse before light even begins to filter in.

I think this is the way it is with family for a lot of us... to them, I'm just a 30-something kid and the economy has always been fine. What do I know?

Aaron Krowne said...

"Selling their apartments"???

I don't think my leasing company will be too pleased if I attempt to sell my apartment on my way out, as if it were a condo!

Guess when you're in the home-buying mania too long, you just think this way!

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