Wikinvest Wire

A Brave Soul Speaks Out

Sunday, October 29, 2006

The name David M. Walker has never been heard here before, but what he's been saying deep in the heart of Texas, just days before a critical mid-term election, inspires faith that brave souls do indeed still exist.

According to this story from the Associated Press, the head of the Government Accountability Office is warning of looming economic disaster.

From the hustings and the airwaves this campaign season, America's political class can be heard debating Capitol Hill sex scandals, the wisdom of the war in Iraq and which party is tougher on terror. Democrats and Republicans talk of cutting taxes to make life easier for the American people.

What they don't talk about is a dirty little secret everyone in Washington knows, or at least should. The vast majority of economists and budget analysts agree: The ship of state is on a disastrous course, and will founder on the reefs of economic disaster if nothing is done to correct it.

There's a good reason politicians don't like to talk about the nation's long-term fiscal prospects. The subject is short on political theatrics and long on complicated economics, scary graphs and very big numbers. It reveals serious problems and offers no easy solutions. Anybody who wanted to deal with it seriously would have to talk about raising taxes and cutting benefits, nasty nostrums that might doom any candidate who prescribed them.
...
Walker can talk in public about the nation's impending fiscal crisis because he has one of the most secure jobs in Washington. As comptroller general of the United States — basically, the government's chief accountant — he is serving a 15-year term that runs through 2013.

This year Walker has spoken to the Union League Club of Chicago and the Rotary Club of Atlanta, the Sons of the American Revolution and the World Future Society. But the backbone of his campaign has been the Fiscal Wake-up Tour, a traveling roadshow of economists and budget analysts who share Walker's concern for the nation's budgetary future.

"You can't solve a problem until the majority of the people believe you have a problem that needs to be solved," Walker says.

Polls suggest that Americans have only a vague sense of their government's long-term fiscal prospects. When pollsters ask Americans to name the most important problem facing America today — as a CBS News/New York Times poll of 1,131 Americans did in September — issues such as the war in Iraq, terrorism, jobs and the economy are most frequently mentioned. The deficit doesn't even crack the top 10.

Yet on the rare occasions that pollsters ask directly about the deficit, at least some people appear to recognize it as a problem. In a survey of 807 Americans last year by the Pew Center for the People and the Press, 42 percent of respondents said reducing the deficit should be a top priority; another 38 percent said it was important but a lower priority.

So the majority of the public appears to agree with Walker that the deficit is a serious problem, but only when they're made to think about it. Walker's challenge is to get people not just to think about it, but to pressure politicians to make the hard choices that are needed to keep the situation from spiraling out of control.
There is a lot of good, but all too depressing detail in this report - the problem of unfunded future commitments increasing by $2-3 trillion dollars with each passing year, pushing the problem off to future generations, and so on.

Can't we just print up the money to pay for all of this and keep doing what we're doing?

3 comments:

Anonymous said...

Where is Ross Perot?

donna said...

We can keep printing as long as someone keeps buying the bonds.

Trouble is, nobody, nobody at all, knows *how much* we're printing anymore, now that M3 is sekrit. And a lot of our creditors are beginning to doubt we have much intention of ever paying them. QAnd now, Merkin homeowners won't be able to borrow and spend on thewir cheap Chinese crap, so China's going to feel the pinch. And it all goes downhill from there, since China is one of those who is buying our debt.

Borrow and Spend is turning out to be kinda a Bad Idea after all.

Anonymous said...

It's kinda like Global Warming, it kinda sneaks up on ya. This nice fella is talking makes some very valid points, and my data supports his comments. However, he has failed to take the in the human equation. I think that his timing may be a little bit on the off. I anticipate a total melt down starting 1Q07. I really do not think we have to look that far into the future...

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