Vladimir is now learning quickly
Monday, June 11, 2007
It took him a few years, but Vladimir Putin seems to have finally figured out how the world economy really works and he clearly doesn't like what he has learned.
The Russian President also looks determined to change things up at least a little bit, a task that is much easier to accomplish when you're sitting on a huge chunk of the world's natural resources - energy and other raw materials that much of the rest of the world wants badly and for which they are willing to pay high prices.
It seems that one of the big problems is that Russia's customers pay in U.S. dollars, which, here in 2007, nearly twenty years after the fall of the Berlin Wall, must be a bit irritating.
Recent comments by U.S. President George W. Bush urging the Russian President to loosen up a little bit because "the Cold War is over" must have been even more irritating.
News came over the weekend that Putin wants a "new balance of power" in the world economy and when someone says something like that you know what they really want - more power for themselves.
The International Herald Tribune reports that while the fate of a $17 billion oil and natural gas field of energy giant BP hangs in the balance, the Russian President seeks to assure the Western world that he remains committed to free trade.
Free trade, apparently, on his terms.Speaking at a business forum here Sunday, Putin called for a new world economic framework based on regional alliances rather than global institutions like the International Monetary Fund.
That sounds a lot like the "Old Europe" talk we all heard a few years back from former Defense Secretary Donald Rumsfeld just before embarking on the Iraq adventure.
The new system, he said, would reflect the rising power of emerging market economies like Russia, China, India and Brazil, and the decline of the old heavyweights of the United States, Japan and many European countries.
The developed countries, Putin said, were dominating the institutions of world trade in an "inflexible" manner, even as their own share of the global wealth is diminishing. He said the world needed a "new architecture of international economic relations based on trust and mutually beneficial integration."
Putin said 60 percent of the world's Gross Domestic Product was now produced outside of the Group of 7 countries - the United States, France, Germany, Britain, Italy, Japan and Canada.
In this case, the swipe will not likely prove to be misguided.
Wasting little time in demonstrating just how much he has learned about how things really work, Putin got right to the heart of the matter - the money. More specifically, the Russian President now questions why everyone has to use U.S. Dollars for international payments and play by the rules of the IMF and WTO.
Not coincidentally, over the past few years the Russian central bank has been furiously building up its gold reserves, buying more than half of Russian mine production in the process.
Change is afoot.
In a remarkable demonstration of just how much Vladimir has learned recently, have a look at what the heads of the world's biggest energy companies had to say after spending some time with him over the weekend.Motorola, ConocoPhilips, Siemens, Schlumberger, BP, Royal Dutch Shell, PepsiCo, Coca-Cola, Deutsche Bank and Ernst & Young were among the companies that dispatched their senior executive to the meeting.
Uh-oh.
At the meeting, Jeroen van der Veer, the chief of Royal Dutch Shell, asked Putin to clarify the rules of investment for energy companies in Russia, Reuters reported. Last autumn, Shell lost control of its Sakhalin-2 development in a forced sale to Gazprom, the natural gas monopoly. Putin responded by reciting the history of the Sakhalin project and thanked van der Veer for his role in resolving the dispute.
After the opportunity to rub elbows with the Russian president, several chief executives praised Putin's economic polices and razor sharp attention to the details of their companies' work in Russia.
Putin showed "a remarkable grasp of industrial policy," Andrew Gould, chairman and chief executive of Schlumberger, the oil field services company, said after the meeting.
Michael White, the vice president of PepsiCo, said Putin struck him as "very articulate and remarkably on top of every deal."
10 comments:
"very articulate and remarkably on top of every deal." How different from the boy idiot we have.
I will trade Russia Bush for Putin and throw in Chaney for free. Can you imagine what Putin and Paulson could accomplish. Competence for a change.
Jim
yep are leaders are total idiots - putin seems to know what he's doing and that's scary -
and even the business types are sucking up to him - i'm sure they're willing to sell out the US for some $$$
thanks for the chuckle, anon 5:37
that picture is creepy
Why do you think that the fact that Putin seems to know what he is doing, is scary?
Why is Russia/Putin scary to you?
Think about it.
Soviet Union is gone.
Cold War is gone.
What do you have to be afraid of?
Is everything Russians do automatically scary and bad?
Or are people only afraid of Russia, because they have vast natural resources STILL left (unlike US), including pretty hefty hydrocarbon resources?
Because in the next coming decades, they will climb to be an economic superpower?
Because to manage in the world, people may have to learn also Russian in the next 30 years?
That's just change.
Russians are people, just like Americans.
Dreaming of better future, more freedom, financial stability and nicer life.
Anon 7:42,
How is Russia going to be a superpower? If demographics is destiny they are done in the next 50 years. And as for their natural resources, it wouldn't surprise me if shifting demographics, cultures and peoples don't end up occupying the land those resources are sitting underneath.
And as for a great, smart leader, I'd have to say that he is not that smart handing everything over to gov't monopolies. Additionally, I would fear a Putin in America more than Bush. Give me a great system of governance with a lousy leader over a truly crappy system of government with a great leader. The latter is a prescription for rampant tyranny and an environment lacking in the freedom necessary for economic growth and innovation.
Sure, he's right that the west doesn't produce much, but what percentage of the world's R&D takes place societies that are more free than less free?
Lastly, while the russians dream of a variety of things, the reality is that culture plays some role in their destiny. Russia has been Russia since the muscovite princes crushed novgorod and kiev (with some help from the mongols).
Anonymous -- we don't have to fear Russia's energy policy because we don't live in Europe, where he routinely shuts down energy resources over political concerns (hint:"hydraulic economy"). We do have to be concerned that Russia might end the petro-dollar regime that won the cold war for us, because that could cause all manner of nastiness for us economically. Ask your local gold bug, who'll talk your ear off on that one....
I guess that we still have to argue the "what's better", "who's the greatest" sort of rah, rah, sis poon bah, capitalism, democracy, communism, totalitarian, debates. All systems are designed to exploit equaly. If history has proven anything, it is that any system or organization under incompetent and negligent management, will fail when competing against any other system or organization that is diligent and thourough. The final chapter is yet to be written and it will probaly never be written. However, it is clear that our so called democratic, capitalist society with it's current leadership, is not fit to dominate the planet and that the "lone super power lable" will be short lived. I believe that Putin was very candid and sent a clear message when he wondered out loud, "How's he going to pay for that...?" after meeting with our esteemed president.
Econolicious
All systems are designed to exploit equaly? Not at all. Communism is very different from a free market state (the US is capitalist, but certainly not a truly free market system). I don't think there is much to argue there. A society based on group ownership (communist)is going to fail while one based on private ownership (capitalist / free market)will flourish so long as the principle of right to life and property are maintained.
As for your thinking, it is very top down, when the greatest growth and innovation is generally bottom up.
As for the lone super power lable, I don't disagree with you there. That's history and competition. Someone is always trying to topple the guy on the top, and at some point he falls. In our case, I hope not too far.
Didn't Krupps and Siemens suck up to Hitler?
Gazprom is buying up European utilities, and Germany is very keen on drawing the Russians in. The euro is a shiney alternative to the dollar.
Russian investment in Europe will head off any crisis over security of energy supply, but may lead to energy price inflation from vertical integration.
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