Wikinvest Wire

A breakdown in credit flows

Monday, September 24, 2007

One sentence in the Newseek story The Bernanke Era Has Begun by Robert J. Samuelson has stuck with me for the last few hours and it is worth repeating here for those who haven't already seen it:


The subject sentence probably means little to most of the magazine's readers who now readily accept that their credit score should be "protected" as their grandparents savings accounts might have been generations ago (as one commenter here at this blog remarked some time ago), but, to me it is profound simply due to the ease with which it seems to have been written and how well it meshes with the rest of what is a very good commentary on recent actions taken by Fed chief Ben Bernanke:

The Fed is trying to prevent a fear-driven breakdown of credit flows: the modern equivalent of a bank run.
The "modern equivalent of a bank run".

Decades ago (or last week in London), a "bank run" would occur when depositors sought to remove money held in savings accounts by institutions whose future may be in doubt.

Today, the equivalent of a bank run is when banks stop lending - when credit, the lifeblood of nearly all Western economies, stops flowing because lenders fear that they may not be repaid.

How profound is that?

This works nicely with an anonymous comment left on an earlier post today:
Good luck everybody! The spin offs of Reaganomics are finally really coming to roost, and its looking ugly!
It is as if we have all accepted and embraced the two decade long transformation from being a nation of savers to a nation of debtors and no one really seems to have noticed.

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5 comments:

Anonymous said...

I think its fair to say that there is a collective understanding that we can just keep expanding credit indefinitely and prosperity will continue indefinitely. This is one of the most lame-brained, yet successful (to date) approaches to running an economy in many decades. Its just too bad it has to eventually come to an end.

Anonymous said...

Already, all of my friends and colleagues are under the impression that credit is "essential" to society, i.e. it must be a common good and regulated a such. I think that today, it's pretty common thinking that easy access credit is a necessity for societal function.

-IY

Anonymous said...

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EU-IBF8nwSY

Now it's evening in America. Profligate debt only buys you a few decades, then the magic stops working.

Anonymous said...

We used to play this game called musical chairs where everyone runs around and around then tries to grab a seat, but there's never enough seats for everyone if you all want to sit down.

Someone is gonna end up falling on their butt. Or sharing their seat with someone else.

64 said...

The real economy exists regardless of the amount of money in the economy. The only long term risk is that you get a repeat of American in the 1930's or Japan in the 1990's, when the government doesn't allow the market to adjust.

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