Interest rates are rising (in China)
Thursday, December 20, 2007
Bloomberg reports on China's latest move to quell rising inflation - the central bank just raised interest rates for the sixth time this year to a nine-year high of 7.47 percent for the benchmark one-year lending rate.Consumer prices rose 6.9 percent in November, property prices climbed at the fastest pace in two years and the main stock index has more than doubled in 2007. Higher borrowing costs and 10 increases in banks' reserve requirements have failed to stem the gains, underscoring concern the economy may overheat.
They might have better luck with inflation if they would stop printing up so damned much of the local currency to exchange for U.S. Dollars.
"Inflation expectations are rising and the central bank really needs aggressive action to cool them," said Stephen Green, senior economist at Standard Chartered Bank Plc in Shanghai. "They will get even more aggressive from now on."
The central bank said it wants to curb inflation and overheating and implement the "tightened" monetary policy announced this month. China had already raised the proportion of deposits that lenders must set aside as reserves by the most in four years, effective Dec. 25, and ordered banks to cool lending this quarter.
Today's rate increase "won't be enough" as inflation cuts real returns on deposits, said Huang Yiping, chief Asia economist of Citigroup Inc. in Hong Kong.
Consumer prices jumped in November on fuel and food costs. Households' concern about inflation is at the highest level since a survey began in 1999, the central bank said today.
Of course, that would cause their currency to strengthen considerably and they know what happened to Japan almost 20 years ago.
2 comments:
Inflation of 6.9% is a little bit easier to swallow when wages are increasing 20% per year, new infrastucture is being built, old infrastructure is being maintained, factories which employ people are being built.
Inflation in this country is actually closer to 7% than the official 3.5% we have averaged recently, wage growth is 4%, factories closing up and moving out, infrastucture falling apart, jobs that do not involve serving fries or handling bed pans are in short supply, etc. That...Is.....Painful.
But we need to create dollars out of nothing to create debt that can be packaged and traded, so the investment banks can make money and pay out huge bonuses to CEO and their top executive managers, and get bailed out by government when some of the trades go bad.
So I guess that makes our inflation a bit easier to bear.
I mean, afterall, China and OPEC nations stand by, ready and able to loan us some money when times are tough. Although, our OPEC bankers asked Citigroup for 11% interest. Not sure what China asked of Morgan Stanley.
There's a pig disease that caused pork prices to double, which is contributing a lot. Money supply is still growing about 20% per year, mostly ending up in infrastructure, housing, and the stock market.
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