Wikinvest Wire

More gold than China

Sunday, January 06, 2008

Gee, the streetTRACKS Gold Shares ETF (NYSE:GLD) has more gold than China. Now, where have I heard that before? Yours truly was contacted last week by none other than the Wall Street Journal on the subject of gold in the gold ETF trust and gold in central bank vaults.

Unfortunately, there's nary a mention of anything uttered on my end of the phone, but their graphic looks very familiar.

This report is in the public area of the online edition and appeared as the lead story in the Money and Investing - Personal Finance section in yesterday's print edition.

ETFs Stoke Investors' Gold Fever
New Way to Trade Adds Luster to Fabled Metal; Jewelry Demand Drops
By PETER A. MCKAY and DIYA GULLAPALLI
January 5, 2008; Page B1

Gold's place in the financial system dates back centuries, but it is enjoying a modern-day renaissance, thanks in part to new vehicles that allow investors to buy and sell the precious metal as easily as a share of Google stock.

The price of gold fell $3.30, or 0.4%, to $863.10 a troy ounce on the New York Mercantile Exchange's Comex division Friday, but that was after hitting a 28-year high earlier in the week. It is now up 43% from a year ago. Investors have been flocking to it as the outlook for more-conventional investments like stocks and bonds becomes cloudier.

Analysts point to the introduction of exchange-traded funds linked to gold as a potent new catalyst for interest in the yellow metal. ETFs trade on exchanges like stocks, but their performance can be tied to almost anything, from the value of commodities to the performance of stock indexes like the S&P 500 index or the Dow Jones Industrial Average.

The most-active gold ETF -- called streetTracks Gold Shares, trading under the ticker GLD -- now averages about eight million shares a day in turnover, more even than Google Inc.'s shares, which change hands less than seven million times a day on average. GLD's underlying holdings of the precious metal are greater than the European Central Bank's or China's central bank.

Demand from investors is driving the price of gold higher, even though demand for the metal for things like jewelry is surprisingly soft.

"The single most important thing to understand about the gold price is that it's being driven higher by investment," says Jeffrey Christian, managing director of CPM Group, a commodity-focused financial-services firm in New York. "That investment demand has been pretty broad-based around the world, and it doesn't look like it's close to ending."
Yeah, they probably figured, "It's the lead story in the Saturday personal finance section. Do we go with Christian or Iacono? The Managing Director of the CPM Group or some guy who writes The Mess That Greenspan Made blog in his pajamas? Better go with Christian."

Maybe next time.

Oh, yeah, here's the original (the Dutch are also probably wondering why they didn't get mentioned).
ooo

This week's cartoon from The Economist:


Full disclosure: Long GLD at time of writing.

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4 comments:

Anonymous said...

Tim,

Sorry you didn't get the credit you deserve.

Here's an idea: How about combining all the gold ETF's around the world into one grand total? Aren't there about 5 or 6 now? That way you get a comparison between private gold holdings vs. central bank gold holdings.

Tim said...

The chart at the top of this post has all the ETFs combined - it's almost all GLD.

Anonymous said...

Why is it I suddenly want to start humming a few bars from songs from "The Producers"?

P.S. Tim, I hope you will consider updating your Case-Schiller CPI index again once this month's numbers are published. Thanks.

Tim said...

Everyone's getting in on the act: Flight to gold as investors lose faith in money

We know too that the little guys are buying defiantly, at last able to invest in gold through exchange trade funds (ETFs) on the main bourses. The ETF holdings have reached 834 tonnes, putting them in seventh place ahead of the Bank of England, the ECB and Japan.

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