Wikinvest Wire

The new foreclosure trend - non-foreclosures

Wednesday, March 17, 2010

From the recent Lender Processing Services report(.pdf) comes the chart shown below depicting the latest foreclosure trend - non-foreclosures. That is, where borrowers stop making mortgage payments but stay in the house.
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Does anyone know of any estimate of the impact of this extra cash on such things as consumer spending within the GDP data? Here's my back-of-the-envelope calculation for Q4:

  • 3 months x $1,000 a month x 711,214 households x 75 percent = $1.6 billion
Assuming these "homeowners" bought things with 75 percent of what they didn't pay in mortgage payments, this would account for about 2 percent of the increase in personal consumption during the fourth quarter - not really significant, but it sure didn't hurt.

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2 comments:

Ted S. said...

Those 12 and 18 month increases are stunning - almost one in five homeowners who are a year and a half behind on payments are still in their house?????

Anonymous said...

What defaulters don't pay on their mortgage, the taxpayer is paying instead. Its a zero sum game as far as consumer spending goes. The rest of us get to spend less, so they can spend more.

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